e MOTION! REPORTS.com
INDUSTRY ANALYSIS THE BRIEFING ROOM THE CRITIC NAVIGATION BAR
 

front page e-mail updates about us


In This Issue:
January/February 2008

The (GM) Empire Strikes Back: 2008 Chevrolet Malibu

Go to entire analysis (pdf)

Editor's note:  eMOTION! REPORTS.com editors are convinced that Malibu will enable GM to create a significant sales buffer for the world's number one automaker, and thus preclude the possibility of Toyota claiming a position of ascendancy either globally or in the all important US market.  And yes, we said all important US market. Industry observers should be aware that the presumed growth of the Chinese market will not meet glowing expectations for vehicle consumption... China's directive is to create an export oriented economy that will eclipse that of Japan.

Press Release: November 15, 2007

U.S. -- China Commission Cites Some Progress Yet Some Troubling Trends For U.S. Economic and National Security Interests; Year-Long Study Offers 42 Recommendations In Report to Congress

Full Report Available at: www.uscc.gov

 

 

"It is not a matter of if this country fights China, but when..."  -- Internal U.S. Department of Defense analysis

WASHINGTON, DC (November 15, 2007) –  China has adopted policies to reverse its progress toward a more market-based economy, opting instead to increase government intervention in the economy, according to the U.S.-China Economic and Security Review Commission. “Free and fair trade depends on a market approach to international commerce, rather than a contest among governments and their closely owned and subsidized industries,” said Carolyn Bartholomew, chairman of the Commission as she officially released the group’s 2007 annual report to Congress on Thursday.

The Commission, a bipartisan group established by Congress to analyze the economic and national security relationship of the two nations,  made 42 recommendations to Congress for further action. The book-length report was unanimously approved by the 12 Commissioners, appointed by each party’s leadership. The Commission held seven hearings; travelled to China, Taiwan, and India; commissioned original research; and consulted with economic, intellegence, and military agencies to reach its conclusions.

The report acknowledges that China’s adherence to non-proliferation agreements has improved considerably over the past several years. Yet China has also continued to build up its military capacity and sophistication with the intent of challenging the U.S.,  said  Commission Vice Chairman Daniel Blumenthal. Blumenthal also expressed concern at  “…China’s willingness to invest in and sell weapons to Iran and Sudan, both countries with abysmal human rights records.”

The report is critical of China’s application of what the report terms “one of the most effective information control regimes in the world.”  The report also criticizes China’s increased use of espionage as a means to develop new military and industrial technology. Among the recommendations, the Commission suggests that Congress pass a law to treat Chinese currency manipulation as an illegal export subsidy, and that it require the Pentagon to better track the orgin of the components of the military equipment that it purchases. The Commission also suggests that the U.S. government  seek greater cooperation with China in a dialogue on global climate change and other environmental issues.

The report  raises alarms about the the erosion of the U.S. defense industrial base, and the build-up of $1.4 trillion in foreign currency reserves by China as a result of its massive trade surpluses.  The report and its key findings, analysis, and recommendations to Congress will be made available on the Commission’s Web Site,  www.uscc.gov.

Boeing Making Progress on 787 Dreamliner First Flight; Production Line Full

Publisher's Note: Although the first flight has been delayed, ER will continue to follow and advise new dates

The Boeing production line is

EVERETT, Wash., Dec. 11, 2007 -- The Boeing [NYSE: BA] production line is full for the all-new 787 Dreamliner, as work continues on the first flight-test airplane and two airplanes to be used for static and fatigue testing. This photo shows Airplane #1 in the third position, where final structure and systems installations are completed. Behind it, the static-test airplane is in the second position, where it will receive landing gear, engines, and any required interior installations. The fatigue airplane entered final body join Nov. 30.

New Feature: Executive Summary

2008 Cadillac STS
Image: GM

 

A bi-weekly  in-depth technical analysis of worthy automobiles; November/December  summary is Cadillac STS 3.6L Direct Injected V-6 http://www.cadillac.com/cadillacjsp/model/gallery.jsp?model=sts&year=2008 

Go to the Full PDF

Publisher's note: 2008 Cadillac CTS repeats 2003/2004 nomination as eMOTION! REPORTS.com Car of The Year; Audi R8 Included In Special Performance Vehicle Category     http://www.emotionreports.com/SUV_Award/suv_award.html

The Penalty of Leadership: A Plaque download of what is considered some of the best automotive advertising prose of all time, and appearing as a one page Cadillac ad for one day in the January 2, 1915 Saturday Evening Post  in response to Packard Automobile assertions   http://www.emotionreports.com/SUV_Award/penalty_of_leadership.htm

 

Special Report:
 

The China Syndrome 2007: Economic and Military Build-up a Cause For Caution and Concern

Go to the Full PDF

 
Book Review: Timelines Into The Future: Strategic Visioning Methods for Government, Business, and Other Organizations, Dr. Sheila Ronis
 


Aerospace Analysis:
First Flight of Boeing 787 Dreamliner This Month
 

Automotive Industry Analysis:
 
The Chrysler Acquisition:
A Matter of Control

 

FRANKFURT MOTOR SHOW 2007 62nd Annual
 

Ford Introduces Kuga Crossover
PDF              Image

 

Volkswagen Eos: Rewriting The Book on Convertibles

Image-1   Image-2

DaimlerChrysler Archives
February 2001: Der Sturm
(The Perfect Storm)

Chrysler: Crafting A Reprieve

 2.17.07

Detroit -- The current travails of Chrysler Group have all but rendered it a candidate for acquisition – a conclusion rendered viable from at least two points of fact:  DaimlerChrysler Chairman Dr. Dieter Zetsche’s public statements of late that all options are on the table, and ongoing deliberations reportedly transpiring at this moment between GM and DCX officials.

Our own sources have not dispelled the notion that the latter statement is true.

In light of this current state of affairs, we invite you to consider analyses presented in February of 2001; Der Sturm (The Perfect Storm) and Chrysler: Crafting a Reprieve. Analyses just as relevant and accurate now as they were then.

The repatriation of this American icon Chrysler, should be pursued by either Ford or GM with all due speed: It is an opportunity that would bring benefits to all concerned, in addition to playing its own role – as noted in “Crafting a Reprieve” – in mitigating erosion of the US industrial base.  The foregoing is true for the simple reason that ownership of Chrysler by a US entity renders it far less likely that manufacturing positions would be sent offshore, and even if they are, the money still flows back here.

Dr. Zetsche is one of the few automotive executives who understands how critical it is to maintain a country’s industrial base; even one not his own.  Which is why we applaud his courage in potentially turning a financial difficulty for Daimler into a opportunity to right a perceived, if not quite real, wrong:  The theft of Chrysler through the machinations of Juergen Schrempp and the short sightedness of an otherwise capable Bob Eaton.

Lastly, you’ll note that we mentioned Ford Motor Company as a possible White Knight in the re-acquisition of Chrysler. 

This is not said tongue in cheek.  Rather, it simply acknowledges that despite its current difficulties, the company will emerge viable.  Moreover, it would reprise its role of 12 years ago during the tenure of Sir Alex Trotman when, unbeknownst to all but a critical few, Ford, at his direction,  acted as a potential suitor to prevent Kirk Kerkorian’s hostile taking of Chrysler.

Alan Mulally would do well to consider the benefits of a Chrysler rescue, benefits that would be identifiable at several levels.

We do indeed live in a global environment, but succeeding in this arena demands maintaining the strength and solidity of the home base.  In this vein, America’s biggest orphan at the moment, Chrysler Group, needs the nurturing atmosphere of a new home and new caring parents…

eMOTION! REPORTS.com 2007

 

Special Edition For University of Michigan
/Center For Automotive Research
41st Annual Management Briefing Seminars,
Traverse City, Michigan August 7-11, 2006
 

Update, August 6, 2006 (July 3, 2006, May 5, 2005, analyses)

Kerkorian and Renault-Nissan Overtures to GM Have Overtones of Hostile Takeover; Success Would Represent Clear Threat to Industrio-Economic Stability and Therefore National Security;   Potential Emergence of New Global Automotive Industry Architecture

 

 There are those within industry and government who… may recommend a full range of responses. These would include a nationalization of Ford…”

 

GM's emergent show of strength, both financially and from a leadership standpoint, is causing the Ghosn/Kerkorian camp to shift attention away from GM and back to Ford.

According to our internal sources, "Ford's precipitous fall, against GM's (media driven) "rise toward recovery," will lead an attention shift toward Dearborn... especially if the markets artificially pump GM enough for some profit taking. Renault-Nissan management is finding it increasingly hard to make the case for GM, in light of the increasingly ripe Ford, especially Ford of Europe."

 

 A serious strategy has emerged to overcome the power of the Ford family's Class B Shares, making the potential for outright capture all the more real.  Astoundingly, Daimler-Chrysler and Deutsche Bank are inevitably part of the Ghosn strategy for the Ford acquisition. The involvement of these two entities should be expected, however, for the simple reason this "organizational fusion" begins with Ford of Europe. And Europe is their home and backyard...

 

Go To Full PDF

 

English
Francais

 

 

SPECIAL REPORT:

28 April, 2006
U.S. Business and Industry Council:
An Organization Worth Joining

State of GM, Ford and Suppliers Confirms
Economic War A Palpable, Pervasive, Reality

Publisher's note:

The US Auto Industry is out of time, and as we recently said to industry colleagues, the window for discussion of strategies to stay or mitigate the threat to the industrial base has been closed.  Only the implementation of actionable plans remains; some of which are suggested by Dr. Ronis and her associates at the USBIC and those that will soon be before Congress subsequent to several month’s long investigation of the erosion of the manufacturing base.  We also acknowledge the impending visit by the principals of GM, Ford and Chrysler with the President.

In order to ensure the best outcome of those proposed interactions, the right questions -- even demands -- must be presented.  And frankly, we have no confidence that most of the people employed and deployed by GM and Ford -- again, Chrysler is NOT an American car company --  on Capitol Hill understand or appreciate the reality of economic war being waged; an understanding quite necessary to craft the appropriate query.  Moreover, the strategies and tactics utilized are designed not to render the offshores just hyper-competitive against the core components of the country's base, but to eliminate them.

Cold, sad, true...

In this analysis and advisory, a very necessary position is articulated and needs very little expansion as the following excerpt demonstrates:

"The automotive industry crisis is revealing with a vengeance the dilemma faced by companies that wish to manufacture in America and keep the nation's industrial base strong. On the one hand, private business and market forces still make the U.S. economy go, and so companies need to work overtime improving their competitiveness.

"On the other hand, policy decisions made in Washington and foreign capitals--to open or to ignore certain foreign markets, to combat or to tolerate foreign subsidies or dumping, to favor some sectors of the economy but not others in trade negotiations--can make or break not only individual companies but entire industries. 

"Multinational companies have long recognized the policy challenge, and have employed legions of lobbyists to influence national decision-makers. Yet too often, their foreign trade and investment agendas have harmed domestic companies, by ignoring import competition that is often predatory, and by actually encouraging the "offshoring" of whole industries and their supply chains. And too few domestic business leaders have had the time or resources to play the increasingly vital Washington game."

We would say to our friends and associates in industry and government that believe we are NOT in an economic war, merely a shifting of competitive positions,  your stance is not sustainable, justified or verifiable. 

This analysis brings that point painfully home...

Go to full pdf

 

Aviation Milestone:  Boeing 777-200LR Sets New World Distance Record; Hong Kong to London

Boeing [NYSE: BA] has reached another aviation milestone with the successful completion of a record-breaking distance attempt utilizing the 777-200LR (Longer Range) passenger jet.  The Hong Kong to London flight initiated on 9 November and completed on the 10th, covered 11,664 (21,601 km) nautical miles and was accomplished in 22-hours, 42-minutes.  It's one for the record books: That distance eclipses the previous record set in 1989 by a 747-400 of 9,200 (17,039 km) nautical set between London and Sydney, and more recently in 1997, set by a 777-200ER (Extended Range) flying 10,823 nautical miles (20,044 km) from Seattle to Kuala Lumpur. 

 

Go to Boeing pdf


Click to read the eMOTION! REPORTS.com
congratulatory announcement

 

 

 

eMOTION! REPORTS.com Names Lincoln Zephyr/MKZ 2006 Car of The Year

 

"Once again, the Chicago Auto Show, now approaching a century of existence, is the backdrop for our award, first presented here in 2002," says Publisher Myron Stokes, an award-winning former Newsweek, Newsweek Japan and Newsweek International correspondent. "This is the fourth year for these awards, and it is our expectation that they will garner a level of notoriety for the winners similar to that evident last year."

 

Go to PDF Release

 

 

Boeing C-17 Globemaster III  Image: Boeing

Aerospace Journalist OF THE YEAR  Awards TO accept entries in four languages

London : 24th February 2006. -- The World Leadership Forum, organizers of the Aerospace Journalist of the Year Awards, has announced that from 2006 entries will be accepted in four different languages: English, French, German and Spanish.

Announcing the change, World Leadership Forum President Malcolm Turner said: “In the past we only accepted entries published in English. Submissions published in other languages needed translations, and that deterred many non-English publications from entering. From 2006 we will accept entries in four major European languages, meaning that many more publications and journalists can now enter.”

The international Aerospace Journalist of the Year Awards, organized in conjunction with the Royal Aeronautical Society, are the world's most important awards for aviation writers and broadcasters.

eMOTION! REPORTS.com Publisher Myron D. Stokes is pleased that the ER team has been invited to participate.  "We join the World Leadership Forum in encouraging aerospace journalists from around the world to submit entries to this prestigious competition.  There is a large body of work analyzing the affairs and inner workings of one of the two largest industries on the planet, and one that has been the primary driver in technological advancement.  From the Montegolfier Brothers to the Return to The Moon initiative, there is a rich history and an exciting future involving the human quest to conquer air and space."

Go to full advisory PDF

English
Francais

 

 

Media Advisory December 5, 2005
The Japanese Exodus: Japan firms quietly leaving China; GM Facilities at Risk

                 

It has been observed by our global sources that several Japanese firms are quietly removing their high value assets in China both technological and human.   This is occurring  because of Japan's dissatisfaction with the Chinese government's unwillingness to enforce the law and effectively manage Chinese Triad activity.

This all but clandestine operation, now in its final stages and apparently coordinated with Japanese intelligence services, placed a priority on the most valuable facilities, the technological and manufacturability components of those facilities, and has been accomplished with a precision rivaling the disabling of Norway-based German heavy water operations at Rjukan supporting nuclear weapons development in February 1943.  The latter having been accomplished with no loss of life on either side.

This comes on the heels of a public domain report provided by the US State Department in response to a China business climate request by Industry Canada in 2004.  The report can be read in its entirety at http://strategis.ic.gc.ca/epic/internet/inimr-ri.nsf/en/gr124519e.html. But the report, sourced by the Japanese government, paints a grim picture of a steadfastly non-cooperative China state of affairs, and qualifies as a PRA (Political Risk Assessment).  
Images: Italianoit, Scott Gregory Banner; General Motors Corp.

Go to full advisory (pdf)

English
Francais

 


2006 Pontiac Solstice                   Photo: GM

The eMOTION! REPORT: THE AMERICAN AUTOMOTIVE/AEROSPACE INDUSTRY 2005 /2006 BUSINESS AND PRODUCT ANALYSIS

A comprehensive analysis written by our global team of experts (see analyses “Renault/Ford?” 5.9.05 and “Super-Globalism” 6.9.03) in the academic, media, corporate and government sectors, with a focus on General Motors and Ford Motor Company “business of the business” and product analysis. On the aerospace side, we look at, among others, Boeing’s emergent commercial aviation success story: The 787 Dreamliner along with Bombardier’s new C-Series that may have a profound effect on the company’s bottom-line profitability.   300 pages in length and presented in ADOBE ™.pdf optimized for spiral-bound printing at KINKOS ™ locations globally, The eMOTION! REPORT offers 25 pages of full-page only advertising avails.  Closing date is November 30th with publication scheduled for second week December.   A media/marketing kit is available as a download from this site to agencies of record and other industry marketing personnel  by requesting password via emotionmag@emotionreports.com.

This document constitutes a “must read” for industry executives, analysts and core financial institutions.

 

Analysis: Boeing Board Selects W. James McNerney, Jr., as Chairman/CEO; Former Acting CEO James A. Bell Remains as CFO (6.30.05)

 

 

In a recent analysis concerning the forced departure of former CEO Harry Stonecipher, we noted that "It is virtually incontestable that every Boeing misstep and charge lain against it moves AIRBUS ever closer to its goal of capturing the lucrative, and hotly contested, AF tanker deal. Moreover, It tends to create an atmosphere of mistrust and loss of confidence on the part of military and commercial customers in terms of the company’s ability to perform.

 

It is not known at this point to whom the nod will be given among the very short list of executives to assume the mantle of CEO. However, it is crucial that the board not bow to pressure to assign the duties of running Boeing to an industry outsider with financial experience, but no knowledge of building airplanes. General Motors learned an awful lesson that car companies must be run by car guys who know the product and its creative process; intimately. Boeing is poised to do well – very well, we believe – with the roll out of the farthest ranging (9,420 nautical miles) aircraft in the world, the 777-200LR Worldliner, along with a hangar-mate already on its way to reshaping how aircraft are produced, the 787 Dreamliner.

 

The right guidance at the helm, no doubt, will help ensure success."

 

It appears that the Boeing board has done precisely that in the selection of W. James McNerney as the company's new CEO.  Acting CEO James Bell remains as CFO.

 

While riding a wave of success following the broad acceptance of the new 787 Dreamliner as the choice of major airlines globally -- the profoundly disappointing, and perhaps instigated, Canadian cancellation of multiple Boeing aircraft notwithstanding -- Boeing's bringing aboard a person like McNerney couldn't have been more perfect.

                                                  
New vistas in aircraft manufacturing: Boeing's 787 Dreamliner  Image: Boeing

Politely side-stepping strong suggestions from Wall Street that Stonecipher's replacement should be an outsider not necessarily associated with the industry, but possessed of significant financial savvy, the aerospace giant (yes, that still applies) instead chose a candidate who brings holistic, systemic knowledge and experience of the aircraft business and its supplier base.

 

The 55 year-old McNerney's pedigree includes CEO of 3M and core positions at GE Aircraft Engines, GE Asia-Pacific and GE Capital.  In other words, he not only knows how to build airplanes, but finance them too.

 

It appears that McNerney is as much of a "plane guy" as GM's Bob Lutz is a "car guy".

 

Indeed, there is room here to congratulate both companies for their recent sales successes.  And although some may say that the battle for the hearts and minds and pocketbooks of consumers has not been totally won in the face of determined opposition (read, AIRBUS and Toyota) the ancient battle of Thermopylae comes to mind: Small engagement, but one that irrevocably altered the course of civilization...

 

Go To Full Analysis pdf

 

 

Renault/Ford?

 

Newly appointed Renault President and CEO Carlos Ghosn

With Chairman Louis Schweitzer  Image: Renault

 

It has been brought to our attention that a Renault/Ford “venture” (with DaimlerChrysler/Fiat-GM similarities sans constructive taking; the acquisition of a firm for reasons other than those officially stated) and a GM/Toyota conjoining could well be rapidly coming together.  In fact, we are advised that a Ford/Renault interaction is all but “a fait accompli” in light of the US company’s circumstances.

 

According to sources, newly appointed Renault Boss Carlos Ghosn is leading the charge, melding his ops with the remaining strengths at Ford of Europe.  It’s expected (and hoped) to be much like his Nissan intervention, with Ghosn helming an arrangement that brings together Renault leverage, Nissan product strength and FOE distribution.  Ford of Europe weakness makes such a turn nearly inevitable...

 

 GM/Toyota

 

General Motors, however, is a whole different story.  Negotiations are planned between Toyota top executive and GM’s C-level executives, expected to expand existing agreements in place over the past two decades.  Review of analyses developed in 2000 by industry colleagues that sought to define such a relationship, painted an unflattering image. 

 

Billionaire financier and corporate raider Kirk Kerkorian, however, has other plans for the world’s largest automaker.  Should he prevail in his strong overtures to be the company’s single largest shareholder, it’s a foregone conclusion he will push to remove virtually all the executives currently in charge, anointing an epic figurehead to buy time, select and redirect the next generation of top GM leaders.

 

Who?  “Kerkorian’s buddy Lee Iacocca could be an ideal white knight… another US car company to save.  But, he is only a few years younger than Kerkorian.  Even if Kerkorian were willing to give Bob Lutz the reigns, after bad blood from the DC merger, Lutz isn’t much younger.” 

 

Our sources indicate the list of potential heroes with enough skill and public capital to take heat off GM is thin.  “Jack Welch is about the only guy with weight and leverage to do what Iacocca did for Chrysler.”
 
Go To Full Advisory (pdf)
 

 

Boeing: The Stonecipher Departure

Publisher's note 3.9.05: "Economic war is always waged first" is a maxim of Sun Tzu's eons old military doctrine.  Boeing, it seems, is feeling the full effects of such a war waged against it as still the world's pre-eminent builder of military and commercial aircraft.  And it goes without saying that if you want to shake a company – or a government – to its very core, attack, discredit, neutralize and eliminate the executive leadership.  As a result of the world’s oldest executive indiscretion, Boeing has lost yet another helmsman, Harry Stonecipher, who, as we stated in an earlier analysis “Aerospace Giant in Fight of Its Life” was capable of leading a charge of revitalized design, engineering and marketing talent from within Boeing’s ranks against an EU-supported AIRBUS.  A consortium, mind you, whose mission in life is to unseat the company’s dominance in the aerospace arena.

Go To Full Analysis pdf

 

Global Powertrain Congress (GPC):    A Convergence of The World's Best and Brightest in Advanced Propulsion Systems, With special emphasis on HEV's, Fuel Cells and Other Alternative Transportation Technologies Inclusive of Quasiturbine; September 28-30, Ford Conference Center, Dearborn, Michigan

Publisher's note: As Dearborn, Michigan, home to industry foundation automaker Ford Motor Company, prepares to host this seventh annual vehicle powertrain specific conference, there is much talk, indeed, high expectations, of potential breakthrough technology, processes and powertrain systems strategies being presented here. Such expectations are concomitant with the angst associated with continued Middle-Eastern instability, Russian provincial upheaval and oil prices -- inextricably linked to these and bolstered by OPEC whim -- headed for $60 a barrel.  For these reasons alone GPC is timely, and born of an industry landscape undergoing massive change.  Dr. Nasim Uddim, one of GPC's founding directors, notes that those in attendance should not underestimate the importance of this conference as it emerges as a clear compliment to the annual events of SAE and SME: "This is a unique international annual conference which is now in its 7th year and is characterized by both its focus and its excellence.  Those desirous of meeting the automotive Powertrain engineers and leaders who are determining the shape of the future, and hearing about the products and technologies that will define it, should know that GPC 2004 is the place to be."

To that end, we're providing a pdf of the conference schedule and registration along with a direct link, www.gpc-icpem.org.  We're also pleased to announce that elements of the white paper "Quantum Parallel: The Saint-Hilaire Quasiturbine as the Basis for a Simultaneous Paradigm Shift in Vehicle Propulsion Technology" will be presented here as well.

We congratulate the GPC team on what is sure to be yet another successful program of high import and impact for industry.   Elsewhere, we present a hi-res image of the Army's prototype TSV, or Theater Support Vessel, a weapons system -- it is indeed that -- at present redefining and expanding the role and capabilities of the Rapid Deployment Force, or any force, within the services.  Developed and built by Bollinger/Incat of Australia, this wave-piercing catamaran design has a 40+ knot cruise speed fully loaded with 400 troops, tanks (up to 16 M1 Abrams) fast combat vehicles, helicopters, small watercraft for SEAL-type operations and provisions for sustained in-theater operations. It has already proved its worth in Iraq.  More data is provided through a National Defense analysis written by our own Dr. Sheila Ronis, who had opportunity to spend time with this remarkable craft. TSV may very well prove to be exactly the type of high-technology, high flexibility and inter-service sea-borne support platform needed to take Dr. Thomas P.M. Barnett's "two militaries",  as outlined in "The Pentagon's New Map", from concept to fully functioning reality.  The designers of Civil War Ironclads Monitor and Merrimac would have been proud...

Carpe diem,                                      Myron D.Stokes    (8.29.04)

Go to GPC PDF

Quasiturbine GPC 2004 Presentation

Global Powertrain Congress (9/30/04)

 

Peer Review: Military Transformation Through Analytical Process: The Inter-University Seminar on Armed Forces and Society -- An Interdisciplinary Approach 

Publisher's Note: A gathering this past October of  academics, active and retired military officers, research scientists and policy makers from several of the country's leading universities, institutions, think tanks and corporations inclusive of West Point, The Naval War College, National Defense University, Boeing, RAND, Brookings and The Hague at Chicago's Palmer House, yielded an astounding array of significant research papers and policy postulations. 

Among the more notable were "Israeli-Palestinian Non-Mediated Peacekeeping --A Challenge to Hegemonic Masculinities" by Deborah Heifetz-Yahav of Tel Aviv University, and "How Peacekeeping Prepared the Army for War" by Laura Miller of RAND. A peer review of the proceedings in PDF form has been prepared for your ready reference and consideration.

Elsewhere, we look at reviews of Dr. Thomas P.M. Barnett's "The Pentagon's New Map", as well as providing a PDF file of the permanently archived work "Crisis On Asimov: A Vision of 2085", just in time for the opening of the Science Fiction Museum, which celebrates the genre past, present and future, in Seattle later this month.  In the near future, we will present "Prelude To Stealth: Jack Northrop's P-61 Black Widow"; a close look at this purpose-built night fighter that shattered conventional thinking and theory as it related to airborne interception and aerodynamic control surfaces.  As we prepare for this extensive analysis, we would appreciate hearing from former pilots and crew, and anyone involved in the design and building of this superlative craft. Reach us through: emotionmag@emotionreports.com

To the promise of galactic adventure,

Myron D. Stokes

Go To IUS PDF                            Media Advisory PDF
                                                         

 

Reviewing The Reviews:  

08_G.jpg (181957 bytes)Dr. Thomas P.M. Barnett's powerful strategic analysis of next war, "The Pentagon's New Map", has been discussed extensively by other mediums, inclusive of the Wall Street Journal (5/11/04) following our own March 24, 2004 review.  Businessweek's Stan Crock (5/17/04) saw fit to review in parallel Barnett's "Map" (Putnam) and Bob Woodward's microscopic look into the White House' Iraqi War decision making process "Plan of Attack" (Simon & Schuster).  His analysis "The Road to -- And From -- Iraq, considers the entry and exit strategies for this still smoldering conflict.  In an interesting twist, Barnett "reviews the reviewers", including eMOTION! REPORTS' Sheila Ronis, on his website (www.thomaspmbarnett.com).  Dr. Ronis' review, incidentally, is among those listed for "Map" on Amazon.com.

On this 60th anniversary of "D-Day" the June 6, 1944 Operation Overlord invasion of Europe landings at Normandy, and considering the current state of affairs both economically and militarily, neither Barnett's nor Woodward's treatises will be gathering dust anytime soon...

Encore: Crisis On Asimov - A Vision of 2085

As a prelude to the forthcoming book "Crisis On Asimov: "Strategic Visioning Processes for Government, Industry and Education" (University Press of America; Jan. 2005, Sheila R. Ronis, Ph.D.) which expands on visioning architecture, we are providing access to this excellent work in PDF form. And, in light of return to the Moon and Mars exploration initiatives now in progress, along with the impending launch on June 18th, 2004 of the spectacular Science Fiction Museum and Hall of Fame in Seattle (http://www.sciencefictionexperience.com) we felt it a most auspicious time to do so.  We applaud the vision of Microsoft co-founder Paul Allen, newly appointed Director Donna Shirley, and the stellar group of advisory board members which includes no less than  "2001: A Space Odyssey" author Arthur C. Clarke, Greg Bear, Ray Bradbury, George Lucas, Steven Spielberg and Majel Barrett Roddenberry.

Go to Asimov PDF


Book Review: The Core and The Gap: A Review of Thomas Barnett's The Pentagon's New Map: War and Peace in The Twenty-First Century
By Dr. Sheila Ronis
  3.24.04

Blog the Pentagon's New MapVisioning for the U.S. Government is a difficult process.  No one entity has the responsibility to define the long term vision of the country.  This has been argued for many years amongst those of us who discuss the role the United States needs to define for itself with the end of the Cold War and a world emerging in the 21st Century that is very different.  But, little progress has ever been made.  Until now.  In a brilliantly lucid manor, Dr. Thomas P.M. Barnett, senior strategic researcher and professor at the U.S. Naval War College, has defined what that vision of a “future worth creating” should be in his new book, The Pentagon’s New Map:  War and Peace in the Twenty-First Century.

The Pentagon’s New Map is only pre-orderable for now at the following web-site.  It will be available after April 26, when it will be published by G.P. Putnam’s Sons, New York. Find it on the web at: http://www.thomaspmbarnett.com

eMOTION! REPORTS reviewer Dr. Sheila Ronis leaves no doubt as to where she stands on this book: "This work should be translated into every major language around the world, though the wit and wisdom may be difficult to translate.  It is a must read, not only for policy analysts in the beltway and every American, but for every citizen of the world who cares about the future."

 

Go to PDF The Core and The Gap

 

 

Special Report: Is NASCAR Killing the Golden Goose?

Rolling in money after signing a $2.4 billion TV deal three years ago, NASCAR has decided the best way to boost TV ratings is to change a popular points system that had been in effect for 29 years. The new plan was supposed to keep the title undecided until the end of the last race, keep more drivers in contention for the crown and encourage everyone to race for the win every time out.  Unfortunately, as Associate Publisher and Motorsports Editor John Chuhran reports, the 2004 Nextel Cup “Chase for the Championship” will likely eliminate more than 75 percent of the drivers with 10 races to go and cause fans of those competitors to turn off their TVs over the final two-and-a-half months of the season.  Participants think the new plan could ruin the sport; a sidebar analysis offers a reasonable proposal to save NASCAR from financial disaster.

Main Analysis: Is NASCAR Killing the Golden Goose

 

Sidebar: A Simple Solution to NASCAR’s Disastrous 2004 Points Plan

Industry Analysis:  Lessons From Toyota:  A Global Grand Strategy For Boeing

Incredible changes in the industrial and geo-political landscape have made it necessary to delay our 7E7 Dreamliner analysis "Boeing Chooses Mediocrity Over Greatness", and present a paper by national security strategist Dr. Sheila Ronis.  "Lessons" looks well beyond product issues and instead concentrates on required modification of corporate policy and culture to face the challenge of globalization.  "It is critical," notes Ronis, "that Boeing recognizes immediately the implications of the death of the 'Buy American' amendment in the Defense Authorization Act for fiscal 2004, and reshapes itself as a truly global company."  And whom might they benchmark in this quest, AIRBUS? "No,Toyota".

eMOTION! REPORTS.com Truck of The Decade: Ford F-150; Performance Car of 2005: Ford GT

Truck of The Decade? In selecting the world's top selling truck and vehicle for this honor, our awards committee had some explaining to do -- and explain they did, right along with their reasons for designating the GT supercar as Performance Car of 2005.  More importantly, Wall Street may be compelled to re-think its market valuation of this industry foundation automaker...

Go to PDF Release/Analysis

 

Special Report: How Ferrari and Bridgestone Stole The 2003 Formula One World Championships

Is it possible that Ferrari and Bridgestone resorted to the type of backroom political machinations of which the DeBorgias, the Machiavellis and Cardinal Richelieu would have been proud, to win the 2003 Formula One World Championships?  eMOTION! REPORTS.com's Associate Publisher and Motorsports Editor John Chuhran presents an analysis of the apparent corporate and sanctioning body powerplays and intrigues that allowed expansive interpretation of FIA (Federacion Internationale d' Le Automobile) regulations -- and not prowess on the race track -- to take the season's checkered flag. 

Go To PDF


Quantum Parallel: The Saint-Hilaire "Quasiturbine" As The Basis For A Simultaneous Paradigm Shift in Vehicle Propulsion Systems

Amidst myriad, and many times unsupportable, claims of technological breakthroughs -- fuel cells being at the top of this contention -- capable of inducing vehicular design and engineering paradigm shifts, we have concluded that the Saint-Hilaire "Quasiturbine" may very well provide impetus to retire the piston engine.  It has served humanity for nearly two centuries, and has earned its rest.  eMOTION! REPORTS.com is providing a comprehensive white paper that will perhaps allow you to reach the same conclusion.

We should point out however, that although the estimated 600 billion dollar hydrogen infrastructural costs outlined in the Argonne studies at right may seem stratospheric, they are in line with traditional and accepted costs -- adjusted for inflation.  In fact, over a 30 year period, along with implementing certain cost containment strategies outlined in these documents, the costs may become quite manageable...

En français pour nos lecteurs du Canada et d'Europe

Un parallèle Quantique: La "Quasiturbine" des Saint-Hilaire
À la Base d'un Changement Simultané de Paradigme en Système de Propulsion des Véhicules

Parmi une myriade de prétentions d'avancées technologiques souvent non-fondées - les piles à combustibles en tête des débats - capables de provoquer un changement de paradigme en design et ingénierie des véhicules, nous avons conclu que la "Quasiturbine" des Saint-Hilaire a les qualités requises pour forcer la mise à la retraite du moteur à pistons. Ce dernier a servi l'humanité pendant près de 2 siècles et a maintenant mérité son repos. eMOTION! REPORTS.com a préparé un aperçu global dans un Livre Blanc qui vous permettra peut-être d'en arriver à la même conclusion...

Go To PDF (English)
Go To PDF (Français)

Press Release (English/Francais)

 

The Boeing Archives

Aerospace Giant in Fight for its Life  (5.20.02)
Boeings Sonic CruiserThe world's largest manufacturer of commercial and military aircraft is reeling from recent revelations about its accounting practices, such as those noted in an extensive BUSINESS WEEK investigative analysis.  The bad news for Boeing is coming so fast and furious in this form and of lost business in the billions to arch-rival AIRBUS, that we are wondering aloud if the company has been deliberately targeted as an extension of an intensifying shoot-out with its EU supported competitor.

Rudman Report on Boeing Ethics (Released 12.18.03)
As one of the architects of the superbly crafted, and now in the aftermath of the World Trade Center attacks, eerily prophetic, Hart-Rudman Report on National Security, former Senator Warren B. Rudman was tapped by Boeing's board to head this independent investigation.   Developed in collaboration with the Washington, D.C. law firm of Paul, Weiss, Rifkind, Wharton and Garrison, LLP, the report analyzes the company's internal processes for handling competitive, and most importantly, proprietary data.

Boeing was accused of improperly obtaining and using satellite contract bid information from rival Lockheed-Martin to gain the upper hand.  As expected, the report praises the company for strenuous efforts to, in the words of CEO Harry Stonecipher, "Win the confidence of the customer back" -- in this case the U.S. Air Force.  Make no mistake, however, this report is no whitewash.  And besides, Boeing has bigger problems than suspect 767 tanker lease deals (a smart move regardless of how its structuring was handled) lost contracts and sanctioning by the DoD; there's the small problem of an animated, aggressive, EU-supported and relentless AIRBUS Industrie, and an agitated, relentless and outraged State Department.  The latter having not forgotten the inadvertent provision of ICBM booster technology to the Chinese, who promptly used that knowledge to accelerate their manned space program by a couple of decades.  But that's another story.

No matter the outcome of any of the above difficulties, Boeing must, and will, survive.

In the meantime, we're providing the full text of the Rudman internal ethics analysis as a pdf download.

Aerospace Analysis In Queue; January 2004 7E7 Dreamliner: Boeing Chooses Mediocrity Over Greatness

Newly appointed Boeing CEO Harry Stonecipher

and Commercial Airplanes President Alan Mulally

announce “available to order” status of 7E7

Dreamliner.   Boeing image

 

In early 2001, we took a long look at where Boeing was indeed going in light of announcements at that time of the company's intent to relocate its corporate HQ (Chicago was ultimately chosen).  We examined Chairman Phil Condit's possible motivations behind this all but shocking move.  We think these observations have particular relevance nearly three years hence.
 
Condit Addresses Detroit Economic Club (11/01)
NOTABLE HAPPENINGS -- DOWNLOADS
Phil Condit -- The Boeing CompanyFew industries have felt the impact of the September suicide attacks on the United States as acutely as the aerospace sector. With the public far from convinced of the safety of airline travel and the major carriers devastated by plunging revenues, aerospace giant Boeing is feeling very much in the center of the action. 
 

Analysis: Commercial C-17 Could Help Military Mobility (10.05.03)

This analysis by Dr. Sheila Ronis, appearing in the October issue of National Defense Magazine, looks at the capabilities of what can be considered the most versatile airlifter in the world, Boeing's C-17 Globemaster III. We are in concurrence with this assessment, as we've named this superlative transport as "Airlifter of The Decade."

Dr. Ronis also discusses the viability of the CAMAA (Commercial Application of Military Airlift Aircraft) program.

Can Boeing Build The Sonic Cruiser?

The question is not if, but when.  There are rumblings that Boeing will kill the program, and if true, it means that they have given in to the naysayers -- uninformed bunch they are.  And to yet again prove the point, we are making available for download an extraordinary PDF from the archives of the world's largest manufacturer of commercial and military aircraft.
 
This 100 page document traces the technical history of Boeing's SST program from 1962-'71.  Basically, we're providing all our learned colleagues need to build their own Mach 2.7 airliner...
 
Download SST PDF